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CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.Guotai Junan: Airline naked fares will keep rising year-on-year, and the pressure on oil prices will continue to improve. Guotai Junan Research Report said that the recent trend of passenger flow and load factor conforms to the characteristics of off-season, and is better than the same period in 2023. The pressure on oil prices has improved significantly since the fourth quarter of 2024. In December, the ex-factory price of domestic jet fuel increased slightly by 3% from the previous month and decreased by 17% year-on-year, continuing the downward trend of the central government. Recently, domestic naked fares have kept rising year-on-year, and it is estimated that more than half of the fuel has been reduced, reflecting that the recovery of supply and demand is better than expected, and it is expected that the off-season will greatly reduce losses year-on-year. Considering that the recent decline in international oil prices will be transmitted to China with a delay of about two months, the oil price pressure will continue to improve in the first quarter of 2025. It is predicted that the concentration of passenger flow in Spring Festival travel rush in the first half of 2025 will contribute to the active revenue management of the airline company, and the peak season may show more than expected profit elasticity and catalyze optimistic expectations. Reaffirm the logic of super cycle and long period of aviation equipment. When supply and demand recover, considering the marketization of fares and the slowdown of fleet growth, the profit center can be expected to rise.Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.

CITIC Securities: The main line of the anti-monopoly investigation on domestic chips in NVIDIA is clear. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 9, 2024, the General Administration of Market Supervision launched an investigation on NVIDIA Company in accordance with the law, which is a legal management means to regulate and maintain fair market competition order, and has a leading role in the domestic chip industry, and is expected to boost domestic computing power and market sentiment of chips in a short time. In combination with the increasing emphasis on self-control by relevant domestic departments and industry associations, we expect that the overall localization pace of domestic semiconductor industry is expected to be further accelerated, and the manufacturing link is also expected to benefit.Australia's business confidence has fallen sharply, and the economic outlook is not optimistic. Australia's business confidence index fell sharply in November, and the current situation index measuring employment, sales and profitability has further weakened, once again indicating that the private sector in the economy is facing heavy pressure. According to a survey released by the National Bank of Australia on Tuesday, the business confidence index dropped by 8 points to -3, reversing the gains in October. The status quo index dropped from 7 to 2. "Overall, the survey shows that growth continued to be weak in the fourth quarter," the bank said in the report. As the capacity utilization rate is still above average, it may take more time for price pressure to fully return to normal. The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its last interest rate decision this year in a few hours, and it is almost certain that the policy interest rate will remain at a 13-year high of 4.35%. Last week's data showed that Australia's GDP was weak again in the third quarter, prompting traders to advance their expectations of interest rate cuts from May next year to April.The Singapore Straits Times Index was basically flat at 3,795.86.

Japan's Minister of Economic Regeneration Ryosuka Akazawa: (When asked about the revised GDP data in the third quarter) Although we have not got rid of deflation, a virtuous circle of wage increase and price transmission has begun.Many countries condemned Israel's control of the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone in the Golan Heights, and Israeli troops invaded the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone in the Golan Heights on the 8th. On the 9th, Israeli Defense Minister Katz ordered the Israeli army to fully control the buffer zone between Israel and Syria. The Israeli army's actions have been strongly condemned by Qatar, Iraq and other governments. On the 9th, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Qatar issued a statement strongly condemning the control of the Syrian post in the Golan Heights by the Israel Defense Forces. On the same day, the Iraqi Foreign Ministry issued a statement condemning Israel's control of the military buffer zone and the nearby land between it and Syria, and stressed that this act was a flagrant violation of international law and relevant resolutions of international legitimacy. In addition, the foreign ministries of Egypt and Jordan also issued statements on the same day, strongly condemning Israel's aggression, saying that it violated international law. The statement also called on the UN Security Council to take a firm stand against Israel's occupation.In October, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, and the trend of steady improvement continued to consolidate. The General Administration of Market Supervision announced today (10th) that in October, 2024, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, up 0.47 points from September, and the steady improvement of corporate credit level continued to consolidate. Regionally, the top five provinces and cities in the credit index are Beijing, Anhui, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shaanxi. From the perspective of industry, the index of accommodation and catering industry increased the most. In addition, the ranking of scientific research and technical service industry index has improved significantly, and it entered the top 5 of the index for the first time this year. The ranking of leasing and business services rose by two places, reaching a new high this year.